Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Hometown Season 29 - LCS Preview

So bored...

Hometown Season 29
League Championship Series Preview
A pair of rematches from Season 28 LCS, the #1-2 seeds showed their might against the lower seeds even when they were down. Now on the eve of the LCS, let’s take a look at each non-inspiring, not- very-exciting, basically boring-as-&%$#, groundhog day matchup:

#1 Dover vs. #2 Toronto
After being swept in the LCS last season, Toronto went out and spent big on Albert Diaz and traded for Kyle Hampton, hoping for a rematch.  This is also the same matchup that Dover looked at and said, “whatevs, we still got JJ.”

Toronto will win if: Kyle Hampton starts hitting like he did in Helena and a starting pitcher not named Mark Riccardi starts and wins 2 games.
Toronto will lose if: their 3-4-5 hitters are overmatched by Dover’s starters and Mark Riccardi looks more like (a young) Uncle Cy than Cy Young (runner-up).

Dover will win if: Earl Drew pitches like a true #2.
Dover will lose if: Earl Drew pitches like he did against Buffalo and his mediocre regular season.

Prediction: Could we potentially see Mark Riccardi vs. JJ three times in the series? I’m sure hoping so. Dover’s offense is going to sputter to start the series but will right the ship and put up a few big games against Toronto’s pitching staff. Toronto should be able to beat up on guys not named Johnson and Drew, but it won’t be enough. Dover wins in 6.

#1 Madison vs. #2 Pawtucket
Boring. We know the people wanted to see a Huntington-Scranton LCS, but to no avail. Instead it will be the Cheesehead State vs. The Smallest State (but hey, we were one of the original colonies). Again, boring! Blah-blah-blah-blah-blah.

Pawtucket will win if: Ernie Shaw continues his torrid pace and Venafro is Venafro.
Pawtucket will lose if: The starting pitching doesn’t take them into the 7th inning each game and they don’t at least split on the road.

Madison will win if: Dmitri Wheeler and Alexei Bazardo can just hit .250 each.
Madison will lose if: They continue to play like crap (see what I mean about boring).

Prediction: Feel good story Ernie Shaw has been a real bright spot this postseason for Pawtucket. Madison’s big names haven’t nearly produced like that have in past (see Wheeler and Bazardo to name a few), but just give them time.  For my money, I am putting it on Madison. Madison wins in 6.

And like almost everything else, I have been wrong A LOT this season. So why should this be any different. Good luck to the Final Four.

Wednesday, March 25, 2015

Hometown Season 29 - DCS Preview

Hometown Season 29
Division Championship Series Preview

#1 Dover vs. #5 Buffalo
Offense: Dover – first team to score over 1,000 runs since Toronto Season 23.
Pitching:  Dover – They have JJ and a stronger starting staff.
Defense: Push – No one that really stands out besides Easley at 2B.
Outlook: Dover wins in 5.

#2 Toronto vs. #6 Montreal
Offense: Toronto – MVP favorite Albert Diaz has Toronto running on all cylinders
Pitching: Toronto – Riccardi for Cy Young? Nope, a distant 2nd.
Defense: Toronto – Best +/- plays in all of Hometown
Outlook: Toronto wins in 4.

#1 Madison vs. #5 Scranton
Offense: Madison – over 100+ more runs scored than #2 Scranton.
Pitching: Push – 2nd and 3rd ERA in NL. MAD struck out more batters, SWB walked fewer
Defense: Madison – 2 GGs up the middle
Outlook: Madison wins in 5.

#2 Pawtucket vs. #6 Huntington
Offense: Push – similar numbers, similar MVP candidates
Pitching: Pawtucket – allowed more than .5 runs less than Huntington
Defense: Push – more + plays for PAW, but HUN threw out over 40% would-be base stealers
Outlook: Pawtucket wins in 4. Pitching is too good.